tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2178 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SBA 07:34 PDX 09:45 8% 4% 1.0% 92%
AS 2318 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SBA 14:39 PDX 16:49 31% 12% 4.5% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SBA 05:50 → SLC 08:50DL 4069 · flown by SkyWest 2h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 20m 99% 88%
SouthwestDetails → SBA 05:05 → LAS 06:30WN 4422 2h 50m Las Vegas LAS 09:20 → PDX 11:40WN 4132 6h 35m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SBA 05:00 → DEN 08:27UA 2865 3h 00m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 8h 09m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SBA 12:40 → SLC 15:41DL 3841 · flown by SkyWest 1h 44m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → PDX 18:18DL 1238 5h 38m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SBA 06:15 → SFO 07:25UA 2340 57m San Francisco SFO 08:22 → PDX 10:20UA 2265 4h 05m 91% 83%
DeltaDetails → SBA 16:50 → SLC 19:51DL 3853 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 6h 54m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SBA 16:03 → SFO 17:29UA 5256 · flown by SkyWest 3h 21m San Francisco SFO 20:50 → PDX 22:48UA 2413 6h 45m 100% 82%
AmericanDetails → SBA 06:00 → PHX 07:36AA 1640 2h 29m Phoenix PHX 10:05 → PDX 12:49AA 1625 6h 49m 98% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SBA 20:24 → SFO 21:50UA 5704 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m San Francisco SFO 22:52 → PDX 00:50 +1UA 2384 4h 26m 60% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON