Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AS 2117 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SEA 09:05	ICT 14:26	13%	2%	0.0%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Wichita on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	SEA 00:44 → DFW 06:43AA 2429	2h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:31 → ICT 10:55AA 4142 · flown by Envoy	8h 11m	100%	87%
United Details →	SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601	1h 12m Denver	DEN 09:55 → ICT 12:27UA 5497 · flown by SkyWest	5h 27m	98%	86%
United Details →	SEA 14:33 → DEN 18:22UA 333	2h 48m Denver	DEN 21:10 → ICT 23:45UA 4755 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	SEA 12:05 → MSP 17:37DL 941	2h 33m Minneapolis	MSP 20:10 → ICT 22:00DL 3541 · flown by SkyWest	7h 55m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	SEA 06:05 → MSP 11:24DL 943	1h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 13:23 → ICT 15:09DL 3595 · flown by SkyWest	7h 04m	97%	82%
American Details →	SEA 05:05 → DFW 11:02AA 2748	1h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:28 → ICT 13:52AA 3592 · flown by Envoy	6h 47m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	SEA 06:00 → ATL 13:53DL 569	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 16:31 → ICT 17:47DL 2128	9h 47m	100%	80%
United Details →	SEA 08:56 → DEN 12:45UA 1505	2h 50m Denver	DEN 15:35 → ICT 18:07UA 4782 · flown by SkyWest	7h 11m	95%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SEA 13:55 → ORD 20:21UA 2101	59m Chicago	ORD 21:20 → ICT 23:31UA 2762	7h 36m	71%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON