tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2202 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SEA 07:00 SUN 09:38 9% 2% 0.0% 91%
AS 2322 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SEA 16:25 SUN 19:01 37% 5% 5.0% 63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hailey on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SEA 05:30 → SLC 08:30DL 1128 2h 45m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → SUN 12:25DL 3973 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → SEA 07:15 → SLC 10:26DL 2858 2h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 13:25 → SUN 14:31DL 3689 · flown by SkyWest 6h 16m 96% 86%
UnitedDetails → SEA 06:00 → LAX 08:44UA 1692 1h 18m Los Angeles LAX 10:02 → SUN 13:16UA 5980 · flown by SkyWest 6h 16m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 3h 01m Denver DEN 11:44 → SUN 13:47UA 5554 · flown by SkyWest 7h 47m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SEA 13:30 → SFO 15:48UA 737 3h 07m San Francisco SFO 18:55 → SUN 21:51UA 5986 · flown by SkyWest 7h 21m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → SEA 12:50 → DEN 16:42UA 1351 2h 43m Denver DEN 19:25 → SUN 21:26UA 5734 · flown by SkyWest 7h 36m 98% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SEA 07:15 → SLC 10:26DL 2858 49m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → SUN 12:25DL 3973 · flown by SkyWest 4h 10m 75% 68%
UnitedDetails → SEA 15:33 → SFO 17:47UA 2866 1h 08m San Francisco SFO 18:55 → SUN 21:51UA 5986 · flown by SkyWest 5h 18m 74% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON