Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 5561 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SHV 08:45	DEN 10:19	17%	5%	0.6%	82%
UA 5260 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SHV 16:27	DEN 17:57	23%	8%	0.6%	49%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Shreveport). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SHV 05:20 → IAH 06:25UA 5994 · flown by SkyWest	2h 05m Houston	IAH 08:30 → DEN 10:05UA 2816	5h 45m	99%	89%
United Details →	SHV 17:56 → IAH 19:10UA 5959 · flown by SkyWest	3h 00m Houston	IAH 22:10 → DEN 23:57UA 1066	7h 01m	98%	86%
United Details →	SHV 07:20 → IAH 08:35UA 5259 · flown by SkyWest	3h 58m Houston	IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168	7h 57m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SHV 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 3504 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 11:55 → DEN 13:00DL 706	8h 00m	98%	84%
United Details →	SHV 15:35 → IAH 16:50UA 5837 · flown by SkyWest	3h 32m Houston	IAH 20:22 → DEN 22:15UA 2339	7h 40m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SHV 07:46 → ATL 10:38DL 4117 · flown by SkyWest	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	7h 14m	91%	76%
American Details →	SHV 06:00 → DFW 07:23AA 6511 · flown by SkyWest	3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:41 → DEN 11:46AA 2359	6h 46m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	SHV 17:16 → ATL 20:13DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → DEN 00:23 +1DL 956	8h 07m	95%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON