Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 965 at 11:40, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 965 Southwest Flight history →	SJC 11:40	DAL 17:05	21%	4%	0.6%	50%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SJC 06:15 → LGB 07:35WN 4933	1h 55m Long Beach	LGB 09:30 → DAL 14:30WN 264	6h 15m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	SJC 06:25 → PHX 08:20WN 3186	2h 35m Phoenix	PHX 10:55 → DAL 15:20WN 3255	6h 55m	100%	82%
Southwest Details →	SJC 07:40 → LAS 09:10WN 1277	1h 40m Las Vegas	LAS 10:50 → DAL 15:40WN 2218	6h 00m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	9h 19m	99%	75%
Southwest Details →	SJC 08:50 → BNA 15:05WN 3657	2h 10m Nashville	BNA 17:15 → DAL 19:10WN 5071	8h 20m	100%	74%
Southwest Details →	SJC 10:25 → DEN 13:50WN 3666	2h 05m Denver	DEN 15:55 → DAL 19:00WN 1388	6h 35m	100%	72%
Southwest Details →	SJC 12:40 → AUS 18:05WN 3655	3h 50m Austin	AUS 21:55 → DAL 23:05WN 280	8h 25m	100%	72%
Southwest Details →	SJC 09:20 → HOU 15:10WN 3673	2h 20m Houston	HOU 17:30 → DAL 18:40WN 46	7h 20m	100%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	SJC 15:35 → SLC 18:25WN 3538	55m Salt Lake City	SLC 19:20 → DAL 22:55WN 3736	5h 20m	73%	50%
Southwest Details →	SJC 16:05 → PHX 18:00WN 3266	1h 05m Phoenix	PHX 19:05 → DAL 23:30WN 193	5h 25m	73%	47%
Southwest Details →	SJC 14:35 → DEN 18:00WN 3668	1h 05m Denver	DEN 19:05 → DAL 22:05WN 1522	5h 30m	67%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON