Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 75% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314	1h 50m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745	8h 28m	98%	75%
United Details →	SJC 06:30 → ORD 12:54UA 2451	1h 06m Chicago	ORD 14:00 → FLL 18:15UA 2635	8h 45m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	SJC 07:20 → SEA 09:42DL 4041 · flown by SkyWest	3h 18m Seattle	SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338	11h 32m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	SJC 18:12 → LAX 19:34DL 1438	3h 25m Los Angeles	LAX 22:59 → FLL 07:05 +1DL 477	9h 53m	100%	72%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	9h 05m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:24DL 809	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	8h 59m	99%	70%
American Details →	SJC 06:01 → DFW 11:46AA 1019	59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:45 → FLL 16:39AA 1862	7h 38m	93%	68%
Southwest Details →	SJC 08:50 → BNA 15:05WN 3657	1h 35m Nashville	BNA 16:40 → FLL 20:00WN 285	8h 10m	100%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON