tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 2602 at 17:31, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2602 JetBlue Flight history → SJU 17:31 HPN 21:30 28% 11% 1.1% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SJU 00:59 → ORD 05:04AA 2592 3h 06m Chicago ORD 08:10 → HPN 11:29AA 3812 · flown by Envoy 10h 30m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → SJU 12:50 → ATL 16:40DL 1757 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616 9h 35m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → SJU 07:25 → CLT 11:15AA 3187 3h 34m Charlotte CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA 9h 31m 98% 75%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 02:20 → MCO 05:19B6 234 3h 53m Orlando MCO 09:12 → HPN 11:59B6 94 9h 39m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → SJU 06:00 → ATL 09:45DL 1879 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:28DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor 8h 28m 100% 71%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 14:05 → FLL 16:47B6 1454 3h 08m Fort Lauderdale FLL 19:55 → HPN 22:59B6 914 8h 54m 96% 66%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 05:01 → MCO 08:01B6 1434 3h 41m Orlando MCO 11:42 → HPN 14:31B6 194 9h 30m 99% 57%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 10:30 → MCO 13:35B6 934 3h 07m Orlando MCO 16:42 → HPN 19:38B6 1694 9h 08m 99% 47%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → SJU 15:58 → MCO 19:06B6 334 53m Orlando MCO 19:59 → HPN 22:55B6 1294 6h 57m 64% 30%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON