Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 936 at 14:32, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 936 JetBlue Flight history →	SJU 14:32	STT 15:09	30%	11%	0.9%	73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte Amalie on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SJU 02:05 → IAH 06:01UA 2495	3h 51m Houston	IAH 09:52 → STT 15:43UA 1908	13h 38m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	SJU 06:00 → ATL 09:45DL 1879	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:35 → STT 15:20DL 1889	9h 20m	99%	78%
American Details →	SJU 06:00 → MIA 08:55AA 2817	1h 12m Miami	MIA 10:07 → STT 12:59AA 2744	6h 59m	95%	74%
Southwest Details →	SJU 06:00 → MCO 09:00WN 3722	1h 50m Orlando	MCO 10:50 → STT 13:50WN 4999	7h 50m	100%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	SJU 05:01 → BOS 09:01B6 562	55m Boston	BOS 09:56 → STT 13:59B6 807	8h 58m	69%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON