tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 19% 6% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:55 → MDW 10:55WN 3749 1h 20m Chicago MDW 12:15 → CLE 14:25WN 1813 5h 30m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:20 → IAD 15:31UA 2264 1h 59m Dulles IAD 17:30 → CLE 19:03UA 3488 · flown by Republic 7h 43m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 45m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 2h 50m Detroit DTW 14:14 → CLE 15:10DL 3581 · flown by SkyWest 7h 10m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244 3h 42m Detroit DTW 22:57 → CLE 23:56DL 3646 · flown by SkyWest 8h 06m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 99% 81%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 06:23 → SEA 07:35AS 1444 1h 35m Seattle SEA 09:10 → CLE 16:36AS 216 8h 13m 100% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 20:08 → SFO 21:10UA 2097 1h 25m San Francisco SFO 22:35 → CLE 06:34 +1UA 2097 8h 26m 68% 53%
UnitedDetails → SLC 11:12 → EWR 17:44UA 1845 51m Newark EWR 18:35 → CLE 20:24UA 1611 7h 12m 70% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON