tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 FLL 17:28 22% 4% 0.9% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 53m Denver DEN 09:47 → FLL 15:47UA 2188 8h 32m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:15 → SFO 17:17UA 1955 3h 58m San Francisco SFO 21:15 → FLL 05:59 +1UA 1230 11h 44m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 1h 06m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 34m 96% 76%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 09m Houston IAH 12:06 → FLL 15:53UA 1706 7h 08m 96% 76%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:21 → FLL 14:14AA 1863 7h 14m 98% 75%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 54m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:51UA 1374 8h 46m 98% 74%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874 3h 58m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 12h 02m 100% 73%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:00 → ORD 12:20UA 1502 1h 40m Chicago ORD 14:00 → FLL 18:15UA 2635 8h 15m 96% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON