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Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2228 at 17:50, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2228 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:50 IND 22:59 22% 5% 0.7% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 2h 36m Detroit DTW 14:00 → IND 15:17DL 5846 · flown by Republic 7h 17m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:35 → DEN 07:00WN 3737 1h 40m Denver DEN 08:40 → IND 13:00WN 1552 5h 25m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 49m Denver DEN 09:43 → IND 14:16UA 1522 7h 01m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:30 → LAS 06:55WN 4205 1h 55m Las Vegas LAS 08:50 → IND 15:30WN 3258 7h 00m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 1h 26m Minneapolis MSP 12:55 → IND 15:33DL 2910 5h 33m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:20 → IAD 15:31UA 2264 1h 52m Dulles IAD 17:23 → IND 19:16UA 3585 · flown by Republic 7h 56m 96% 82%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:15 → PHX 06:55WN 3751 2h 05m Phoenix PHX 09:00 → IND 15:25WN 3186 7h 10m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → IND 00:41 +1DL 2657 9h 06m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885 46m Atlanta ATL 17:35 → IND 19:10DL 2979 6h 05m 71% 57%
DeltaDetails → SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 46m Minneapolis MSP 21:40 → IND 00:16 +1DL 674 4h 55m 65% 51%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 16:50 → DEN 18:20WN 3740 55m Denver DEN 19:15 → IND 23:50WN 1211 5h 00m 64% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON