Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3722 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 22:59	MFR 23:54	6%	2%	0.6%	94%
DL 3806 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	MFR 11:40	7%	3%	0.6%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Medford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Medford is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SLC 08:20 → PDX 09:26AS 3004 · flown by SkyWest	1h 14m Portland	PDX 10:40 → MFR 11:53AS 3300 · flown by SkyWest	4h 33m	100%	89%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:46 → PDX 13:49AS 3117 · flown by SkyWest	3h 56m Portland	PDX 17:45 → MFR 18:48AS 2163 · flown by Horizon	7h 02m	100%	84%
Alaska Details →	SLC 11:22 → PDX 12:23AS 2333 · flown by Horizon	2h 29m Portland	PDX 14:52 → MFR 15:54AS 2125 · flown by Horizon	5h 32m	95%	81%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:51 → SEA 14:04AS 664	3h 43m Seattle	SEA 17:47 → MFR 19:13AS 2037 · flown by Horizon	7h 22m	96%	81%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995	2h 21m Seattle	SEA 15:10 → MFR 16:44DL 3770 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → MFR 23:11DL 3954 · flown by SkyWest	6h 51m	97%	80%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 38m Denver	DEN 11:20 → MFR 13:05UA 337	7h 05m	98%	79%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 14m Phoenix	PHX 10:11 → MFR 12:50AA 6253 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	97%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON