tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2619 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:45 MKE 21:43 23% 7% 0.6% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836 7h 10m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:30 → LAS 06:55WN 4205 2h 10m Las Vegas LAS 09:05 → MKE 14:35WN 4337 7h 05m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 2h 25m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 6h 09m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:35 → DEN 07:00WN 3737 3h 15m Denver DEN 10:15 → MKE 13:40WN 1626 7h 05m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 30m Minneapolis MSP 18:10 → MKE 19:31DL 4464 · flown by SkyWest 7h 21m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → MKE 15:04DL 2152 7h 04m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 48m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → MKE 21:41DL 4468 · flown by SkyWest 6h 41m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 9h 21m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 17:57 → DEN 19:40UA 1910 47m Denver DEN 20:27 → MKE 23:59UA 4785 · flown by SkyWest 5h 02m 61% 49%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 11:25 → BNA 15:40WN 3384 50m Nashville BNA 16:30 → MKE 18:05WN 4733 5h 40m 60% 46%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 16:00 → SEA 17:16AS 734 53m Seattle SEA 18:09 → MKE 23:59AS 307 6h 59m 62% 46%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON