tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 13:40 OKC 17:03 9% 4% 0.5% 93%
DL 3703 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:30 OKC 23:52 9% 4% 0.5% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:35 → DEN 07:00WN 3737 1h 10m Denver DEN 08:10 → OKC 10:50WN 3010 4h 15m 98% 90%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:30 → LAS 06:55WN 4205 55m Las Vegas LAS 07:50 → OKC 12:20WN 344 4h 50m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 1h 06m Denver DEN 08:00 → OKC 10:49UA 6029 · flown by SkyWest 4h 34m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:49 → OKC 11:56AA 3731 · flown by Envoy 5h 56m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:00 → DAL 08:30WN 1725 2h 15m Dallas DAL 10:45 → OKC 11:45WN 4128 5h 45m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 1h 23m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 5h 01m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa 8h 30m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 30m Minneapolis MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest 8h 05m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:42 → DFW 20:30AA 2594 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:29 → OKC 22:33AA 1458 4h 51m 75% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON