tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:45, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 1188 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 PIT 16:30 12% 3% 0.6% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 04m San Francisco SFO 08:23 → PIT 16:27UA 2836 8h 22m 96% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:55 → MDW 10:55WN 3749 2h 40m Chicago MDW 13:35 → PIT 16:00WN 2866 7h 05m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 8h 01m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:59 → JFK 16:47DL 1792 2h 42m New York JFK 19:29 → PIT 21:39DL 5795 · flown by Republic 9h 40m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 3h 56m Minneapolis MSP 15:25 → PIT 18:40DL 3709 · flown by SkyWest 8h 40m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353 6h 50m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351 9h 15m 99% 84%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:35 → DEN 07:00WN 3737 3h 00m Denver DEN 10:00 → PIT 15:10WN 4012 7h 35m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → SLC 15:15 → PHX 16:00WN 3353 55m Phoenix PHX 16:55 → PIT 23:55WN 4804 6h 40m 64% 37%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON