Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3727 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	RDM 11:35	6%	2%	0.6%	92%
DL 3756 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 23:07	RDM 23:58	6%	1%	0.6%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SLC 11:22 → PDX 12:23AS 2333 · flown by Horizon	2h 07m Portland	PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon	4h 58m	95%	91%
Alaska Details →	SLC 08:20 → PDX 09:26AS 3004 · flown by SkyWest	1h 19m Portland	PDX 10:45 → RDM 11:47AS 3073 · flown by SkyWest	4h 27m	100%	89%
United Details →	SLC 16:42 → LAX 17:53UA 5456 · flown by SkyWest	3h 27m Los Angeles	LAX 21:20 → RDM 23:35UA 5662 · flown by SkyWest	7h 53m	100%	86%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 31m Phoenix	PHX 10:28 → RDM 13:07AA 3770 · flown by Envoy	6h 54m	97%	85%
Alaska Details →	SLC 19:39 → PDX 20:43AS 3280 · flown by SkyWest	1h 12m Portland	PDX 21:55 → RDM 22:45AS 2057 · flown by Horizon	4h 06m	93%	83%
Alaska Details →	SLC 18:44 → SEA 20:00AS 665	2h 53m Seattle	SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon	6h 15m	95%	82%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 33m Denver	DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082	6h 53m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	97%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SLC 15:15 → SEA 16:28DL 2817	57m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	4h 28m	69%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON