tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2020 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SNA 11:25 GEG 13:59 17% 4% 0.0% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SNA 06:45 → DEN 10:16UA 513 3h 30m Denver DEN 13:46 → GEG 15:11UA 324 8h 26m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → SNA 06:45 → SMF 08:25WN 2669 2h 35m Sacramento SMF 11:00 → GEG 12:50WN 302 6h 05m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SNA 09:50 → SLC 12:46DL 1198 2h 39m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 18m 97% 83%
AlaskaDetails → SNA 12:33 → BOI 15:39AS 1606 3h 14m Boise BOI 18:53 → GEG 19:01AS 2030 · flown by Horizon 6h 28m 100% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SNA 18:09 → PDX 20:31AS 589 1h 19m Portland PDX 21:50 → GEG 22:59AS 1356 4h 50m 96% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SNA 07:00 → PDX 09:24AS 750 1h 06m Portland PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250 4h 45m 96% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SNA 10:57 → PDX 13:21AS 1405 1h 09m Portland PDX 14:30 → GEG 15:41AS 3262 · flown by SkyWest 4h 44m 93% 81%
UnitedDetails → SNA 13:05 → DEN 16:28UA 2132 3h 12m Denver DEN 19:40 → GEG 21:05UA 778 8h 00m 98% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SNA 18:20 → SFO 19:51UA 2657 54m San Francisco SFO 20:45 → GEG 23:04UA 5693 · flown by SkyWest 4h 44m 68% 55%
DeltaDetails → SNA 14:09 → SEA 16:59DL 952 1h 00m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 5h 06m 66% 52%
DeltaDetails → SNA 18:45 → SEA 21:36DL 2318 1h 09m Seattle SEA 22:45 → GEG 23:55DL 2354 5h 10m 72% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON