tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2325 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SUN 10:20 SEA 11:14 19% 0% 0.0% 81%
AS 2327 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SUN 19:43 SEA 20:35 53% 5% 5.0% 47%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Hailey). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SUN 07:20 → SLC 08:27DL 4037 · flown by SkyWest 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995 6h 29m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → SUN 08:00 → LAX 09:34UA 6053 · flown by SkyWest 2h 09m Los Angeles LAX 11:43 → SEA 14:36UA 325 7h 36m 95% 80%
UnitedDetails → SUN 07:00 → DEN 08:58UA 5712 · flown by SkyWest 2h 23m Denver DEN 11:21 → SEA 13:21UA 1424 7h 21m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → SUN 13:10 → SLC 14:21DL 4019 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871 6h 23m 99% 69%
UnitedDetails → SUN 07:40 → SFO 08:59UA 5423 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m San Francisco SFO 12:10 → SEA 14:30UA 2744 7h 50m 98% 65%
UnitedDetails → SUN 14:38 → DEN 16:45UA 5268 · flown by SkyWest 2h 25m Denver DEN 19:10 → SEA 21:10UA 360 7h 32m 94% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON