tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:21, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1320 United Flight history → SYR 08:15 DEN 10:05 8% 2% 0.7% 87%
UA 453 United Flight history → SYR 16:15 DEN 18:05 18% 5% 0.7% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
JetBlueDetails → SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515 3h 18m New York JFK 10:30 → DEN 13:11B6 1497 9h 11m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:15 → ORD 07:29UA 1008 1h 11m Chicago ORD 08:40 → DEN 10:31UA 526 6h 16m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → SYR 09:12 → DTW 10:46DL 4123 · flown by SkyWest 1h 56m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 33m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 45m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 90% 83%
DeltaDetails → SYR 07:30 → MSP 09:07DL 2834 1h 53m Minneapolis MSP 11:00 → DEN 12:05DL 2927 6h 35m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → SYR 14:40 → IAD 16:06UA 4505 · flown by GoJet 3h 14m Dulles IAD 19:20 → DEN 21:27UA 2667 8h 47m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 1h 38m New York JFK 08:30 → DEN 10:58DL 532 7h 28m 93% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SYR 20:19 → ORD 21:49AA 6398 · flown by SkyWest 46m Chicago ORD 22:35 → DEN 00:17 +1AA 1387 5h 58m 69% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON