Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1739 at 20:35, with a 46% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1739 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 20:35	FLL 23:47	46%	19%	3.4%	77%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 23m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:12 → DTW 10:46DL 4123 · flown by SkyWest	1h 44m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	6h 22m	98%	78%
United Details →	SYR 06:15 → ORD 07:29UA 1008	3h 30m Chicago	ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279	8h 58m	98%	78%
American Details →	SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont	3h 25m Philadelphia	PHL 10:45 → FLL 13:38AA 695	7h 38m	94%	76%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	52m Dulles	IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825	5h 07m	85%	74%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 41m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 54m	96%	74%
Delta Details →	SYR 11:21 → JFK 12:39DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor	2h 51m New York	JFK 15:30 → FLL 18:54DL 1419	7h 33m	97%	73%
American Details →	SYR 07:30 → ORD 08:49AA 4134 · flown by Envoy	3h 46m Chicago	ORD 12:35 → FLL 16:43AA 672	9h 13m	98%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON