tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 655 at 13:29, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 655 JetBlue Flight history → SYR 13:29 MCO 16:20 25% 13% 15.7% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 72%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:15 → ORD 07:29UA 1008 1h 43m Chicago ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643 6h 58m 98% 71%
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091 2h 41m Detroit DTW 10:35 → MCO 13:08DL 1747 6h 47m 99% 70%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:03 → DCA 07:34AA 4056 · flown by Envoy 1h 26m Washington DCA 09:00 → MCO 11:28AA 2104 5h 25m 97% 70%
DeltaDetails → SYR 07:30 → MSP 09:07DL 2834 3h 38m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225 9h 34m 99% 69%
JetBlueDetails → SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515 3h 43m New York JFK 10:55 → MCO 14:03B6 383 8h 03m 99% 68%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 17m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 08m 90% 68%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 3h 01m New York JFK 09:53 → MCO 12:51DL 2019 7h 21m 97% 67%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON