Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2834 at 07:30, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2834 Delta Flight history →	SYR 07:30	MSP 09:07	6%	3%	0.6%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SYR 06:15 → ORD 07:29UA 1008	1h 21m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 21m	98%	88%
American Details →	SYR 06:03 → DCA 07:34AA 4056 · flown by Envoy	2h 56m Washington	DCA 10:30 → MSP 12:20AA 3796 · flown by Envoy	7h 17m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	4h 33m	95%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	6h 31m	97%	87%
United Details →	SYR 16:15 → DEN 18:05UA 453	2h 49m Denver	DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667	8h 44m	99%	84%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 17m Dulles	IAD 08:45 → MSP 10:36UA 3649 · flown by Republic	5h 36m	90%	84%
American Details →	SYR 07:30 → ORD 08:49AA 4134 · flown by Envoy	2h 58m Chicago	ORD 11:47 → MSP 13:32AA 3375 · flown by Envoy	7h 02m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:12 → DTW 10:46DL 4123 · flown by SkyWest	1h 34m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697	4h 58m	97%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SYR 20:19 → ORD 21:49AA 6398 · flown by SkyWest	47m Chicago	ORD 22:36 → MSP 00:22 +1AA 4472 · flown by Republic	5h 03m	71%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON