Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2462 at 14:18, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2462 Delta Flight history →	VPS 14:18	MSP 17:12	14%	4%	0.7%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	VPS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3085	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	5h 31m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 50m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	VPS 17:06 → ATL 19:30DL 3083	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 33m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	6h 45m	98%	80%
American Details →	VPS 11:32 → ORD 14:14AA 4153 · flown by Envoy	1h 29m Chicago	ORD 15:43 → MSP 17:32AA 4425 · flown by Republic	6h 00m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	VPS 11:15 → ATL 13:35DL 2048	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	7h 03m	99%	78%
Southwest Details →	VPS 18:05 → BNA 19:35WN 4108	3h 10m Nashville	BNA 22:45 → MSP 00:55 +1WN 968	6h 50m	96%	76%
American Details →	VPS 07:14 → CLT 10:09AA 5661 · flown by PSA	1h 06m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153	5h 40m	89%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON