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Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Southwest via Denver, leaving 05:22, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:22 → DEN 06:58WN 117 1h 49m Denver DEN 08:47 → BUR 10:26WN 1557 6h 04m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 4h 59m 96% 88%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621 2h 52m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 6h 48m 98% 81%
AlaskaDetails → ABQ 11:34 → PDX 13:35AS 2269 · flown by Horizon 1h 20m Portland PDX 14:55 → BUR 17:13AS 1386 6h 39m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 18:04 → SLC 19:54DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 56m Salt Lake City SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339 4h 44m 92% 74%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 13:52 → LAS 14:39WN 138 1h 52m Las Vegas LAS 16:31 → BUR 18:01WN 3101 5h 09m 91% 69%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:10 → SFO 09:07UA 5286 · flown by SkyWest 1h 16m San Francisco SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115 5h 39m 91% 68%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:38 → DFW 08:39AA 1231 1h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:24 → BUR 11:49AA 1208 7h 11m 91% 68%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON