Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2429 Delta Flight history →	ALB 06:26	ATL 08:57	13%	3%	0.8%	90%
DL 1137 Delta Flight history →	ALB 14:29	ATL 17:02	15%	4%	0.7%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996	1h 42m Detroit	DTW 09:23 → ATL 11:22DL 3175	5h 17m	100%	89%
Southwest Details →	ALB 05:36 → BWI 07:04WN 167	1h 11m Baltimore	BWI 08:15 → ATL 10:18WN 191	4h 42m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	ALB 05:45 → LGA 06:47DL 5454 · flown by Endeavor	2h 13m New York	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	5h 47m	97%	84%
United Details →	ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225	2h 42m Chicago	ORD 10:29 → ATL 13:44UA 2684	7h 34m	98%	82%
American Details →	ALB 10:49 → PHL 12:09AA 6026 · flown by Piedmont	3h 19m Philadelphia	PHL 15:28 → ATL 17:48AA 5250 · flown by PSA	6h 59m	97%	81%
American Details →	ALB 06:55 → CLT 09:05AA 440	1h 33m Charlotte	CLT 10:38 → ATL 12:07AA 5552 · flown by PSA	5h 12m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	ALB 12:48 → DTW 14:38DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	3h 21m Detroit	DTW 17:59 → ATL 20:04DL 2053	7h 16m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	ALB 13:23 → DTW 15:17DL 5521 · flown by Endeavor	3h 57m Detroit	DTW 19:14 → ATL 21:15DL 9963	7h 52m	96%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir	58m Dulles	IAD 12:35 → ATL 14:34UA 471	4h 34m	73%	62%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON