tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 71% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 156 Southwest ALB 12:50 DEN 15:08 17% 3% 0.7% no record
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 18% 3% 0.6% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:13 → IAD 07:34UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 39m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 7h 52m 99% 90%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 05:36 → BWI 07:04WN 167 2h 42m Baltimore BWI 09:46 → DEN 11:39WN 980 8h 03m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:46UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 49m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 8h 29m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 92% 82%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:26 → ATL 08:57DL 2429 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 9h 34m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 20m Chicago ORD 11:07 → DEN 12:50UA 2857 8h 40m 99% 79%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 16:45 → MDW 18:10WN 179 1h 14m Chicago MDW 19:24 → DEN 21:13WN 2880 6h 28m 92% 78%
DeltaDetails → ALB 14:29 → ATL 17:02DL 1137 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746 8h 14m 98% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 17:11 → ORD 18:37UA 538 1h 13m Chicago ORD 19:50 → DEN 21:22UA 329 6h 11m 71% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON