tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 87 at 07:03, with a 27% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 87 JetBlue Flight history → ALB 07:03 FLL 10:14 27% 7% 4.8% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:48 → DTW 14:38DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 3h 47m Detroit DTW 18:25 → FLL 21:27DL 2296 8h 39m 100% 78%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 05:36 → BWI 07:04WN 167 1h 16m Baltimore BWI 08:20 → FLL 11:05WN 1001 5h 29m 100% 78%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 58m Philadelphia PHL 11:38 → FLL 14:42AA 1465 8h 21m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:26 → ATL 08:57DL 2429 3h 34m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 8h 01m 97% 73%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:14 → DCA 06:59AA 5433 · flown by PSA 1h 04m Washington DCA 08:03 → FLL 10:55AA 1893 5h 41m 92% 69%
AmericanDetails → ALB 10:49 → PHL 12:09AA 6026 · flown by Piedmont 1h 44m Philadelphia PHL 13:53 → FLL 16:54AA 2718 6h 05m 94% 69%
DeltaDetails → ALB 14:29 → ATL 17:02DL 1137 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 7h 27m 99% 68%
AmericanDetails → ALB 14:55 → PHL 16:18AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 2h 21m Philadelphia PHL 18:39 → FLL 21:38AA 2462 6h 43m 94% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 47m Dulles IAD 08:22 → FLL 11:09UA 1825 5h 09m 75% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON