tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 5454 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record ALB 05:45 LGA 06:50 6% 3% 5.7% 94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 2h 24m Detroit DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589 5h 45m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:26 → ATL 08:57DL 2429 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 16m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 16m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 16m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 14:29 → ATL 17:02DL 1137 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → LGA 21:28DL 468 6h 59m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:55 → CLT 09:05AA 440 2h 47m Charlotte CLT 11:52 → LGA 13:43AA 2268 6h 48m 93% 74%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:14 → ORD 08:38AA 3400 · flown by Envoy 2h 52m Chicago ORD 11:30 → LGA 14:52AA 903 7h 38m 100% 72%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:48 → DTW 14:38DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 1h 18m Detroit DTW 15:56 → LGA 17:45DL 2602 4h 57m 86% 69%
AmericanDetails → ALB 13:12 → CLT 15:22AA 710 2h 38m Charlotte CLT 18:00 → LGA 20:00AA 1060 6h 48m 97% 65%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 17:11 → ORD 18:37UA 538 1h 26m Chicago ORD 20:03 → LGA 23:17UA 2827 6h 06m 74% 54%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 46m Dulles IAD 17:15 → LGA 18:42UA 4077 · flown by Mesa 3h 52m 43% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON