Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 178 Southwest	ALB 08:20	MDW 09:39	11%	1%	1.0%	no record
WN 179 Southwest Flight history →	ALB 16:45	MDW 18:10	14%	3%	0.9%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	ALB 05:36 → BWI 07:04WN 167	2h 41m Baltimore	BWI 09:45 → MDW 10:50WN 2276	6h 14m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 08:50 → MDW 09:14DL 4684 · flown by Endeavor	4h 09m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	ALB 12:48 → DTW 14:38DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	3h 29m Detroit	DTW 18:07 → MDW 18:25DL 4677 · flown by Endeavor	6h 41m	100%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON