Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1137 Delta Flight history →	ATL 11:05	ALB 13:28	13%	2%	0.6%	85%
DL 2584 Delta Flight history →	ATL 21:38	ALB 23:59	21%	6%	1.1%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	ATL 07:05 → PHL 09:15AA 1428	3h 50m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 26m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:00 → DTW 08:57DL 1646	1h 08m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor	4h 46m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067	2h 31m Detroit	DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660	6h 10m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:30 → LGA 09:39DL 323	1h 58m New York	LGA 11:37 → ALB 12:47DL 5268 · flown by Endeavor	5h 17m	98%	77%
United Details →	ATL 09:52 → IAD 11:36UA 632	1h 04m Dulles	IAD 12:40 → ALB 14:13UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir	4h 21m	92%	73%
American Details →	ATL 16:54 → ORD 18:09AA 616	2h 47m Chicago	ORD 20:56 → ALB 23:52AA 3420 · flown by Envoy	6h 58m	92%	70%
American Details →	ATL 18:20 → PHL 20:47AA 5250 · flown by PSA	1h 03m Philadelphia	PHL 21:50 → ALB 23:23AA 5877 · flown by Piedmont	5h 03m	85%	66%
American Details →	ATL 16:22 → CLT 17:46AA 5175 · flown by PSA	1h 49m Charlotte	CLT 19:35 → ALB 21:43AA 589	5h 21m	86%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON