Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2350 at 10:49, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2350 Delta Flight history →	ATL 10:49	BGR 13:35	10%	3%	0.6%	100%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:30 → LGA 09:39DL 323	2h 01m New York	LGA 11:40 → BGR 13:23DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor	5h 53m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:42 → JFK 10:00DL 2420	3h 59m New York	JFK 13:59 → BGR 15:45DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	8h 03m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:20 → DTW 11:10DL 1298	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 14:00 → BGR 16:04DL 3003	6h 44m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	3h 56m New York	LGA 19:46 → BGR 21:23DL 5396 · flown by Endeavor	7h 53m	99%	83%
American Details →	ATL 06:01 → PHL 08:19AA 3270	1h 13m Philadelphia	PHL 09:32 → BGR 11:28AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont	5h 27m	92%	78%
American Details →	ATL 08:18 → CLT 09:50AA 5063 · flown by PSA	49m Charlotte	CLT 10:39 → BGR 13:15AA 1874	4h 57m	75%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON