Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 20:56	CID 22:03	23%	7%	1.0%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	2h 55m Minneapolis	MSP 14:26 → CID 15:50DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	6h 55m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	2h 53m Minneapolis	MSP 22:08 → CID 23:17DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	6h 39m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	1h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 10:10 → CID 11:26DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	5h 01m	95%	87%
United Details →	ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327	2h 37m Denver	DEN 15:05 → CID 18:05UA 3752	7h 55m	98%	78%
United Details →	ATL 08:45 → DEN 10:06UA 340	3h 49m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 16m	99%	77%
American Details →	ATL 15:03 → DFW 16:29AA 3104	2h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:47 → CID 20:57AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	6h 54m	93%	67%
American Details →	ATL 12:39 → DFW 14:02AA 1276	1h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:34 → CID 17:41AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	6h 02m	84%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON