tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: United via Denver, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Oklahoma City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 54% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 3h 07m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 7h 22m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:20 → IAH 06:23UA 1966 1h 02m Houston IAH 07:25 → OKC 08:57UA 6178 · flown by Mesa 3h 37m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 1h 06m Atlanta ATL 09:53 → OKC 11:08DL 2490 5h 43m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:26DL 2899 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 13:50 → OKC 14:56DL 2862 6h 41m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 1h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:22 → OKC 08:40AA 4946 · flown by SkyWest 3h 39m 94% 80%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579 1h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:16 → OKC 10:29AA 1902 4h 29m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:58 → DFW 08:23AA 2196 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:40 → OKC 11:53AA 3099 4h 55m 97% 73%
DeltaDetails → AUS 17:00 → ATL 20:39DL 1397 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 6h 52m 97% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → AUS 17:58 → IAH 19:10UA 1326 56m Houston IAH 20:06 → OKC 21:35UA 1084 3h 37m 74% 53%
UnitedDetails → AUS 16:10 → IAH 17:25UA 4004 · flown by Mesa 47m Houston IAH 18:12 → OKC 19:53UA 5278 · flown by SkyWest 3h 43m 54% 40%
AmericanDetails → AUS 15:13 → DFW 16:33AA 2198 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:31 → OKC 18:43AA 2734 3h 30m 73% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON