tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 959 at 08:00, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 959 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 08:00 FLL 11:10 23% 6% 2.4% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BDL 13:15 → DTW 15:11DL 2163 3h 14m Detroit DTW 18:25 → FLL 21:27DL 2296 8h 12m 99% 75%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 56m Dulles IAD 08:22 → FLL 11:09UA 1825 5h 09m 93% 75%
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 72%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:30 → ATL 09:56DL 2233 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 57m 99% 71%
DeltaDetails → BDL 16:30 → ATL 19:13DL 2739 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 8h 09m 99% 67%
DeltaDetails → BDL 12:24 → ATL 14:53DL 2951 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670 7h 19m 99% 67%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 06m Chicago ORD 11:00 → FLL 15:14UA 279 9h 05m 99% 67%
UnitedDetails → BDL 08:20 → IAH 11:10UA 1361 59m Houston IAH 12:09 → FLL 15:51UA 1982 7h 31m 89% 67%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON