Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1330 Delta Flight history →	BDL 07:35	MSP 09:29	7%	3%	0.6%	86%
DL 2007 Delta Flight history →	BDL 15:10	MSP 17:09	9%	4%	0.6%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hartford). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	1h 35m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	5h 24m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 50m	100%	88%
United Details →	BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635	1h 05m Dulles	IAD 08:31 → MSP 10:10UA 2604	5h 10m	97%	86%
United Details →	BDL 08:00 → DEN 10:23UA 364	3h 27m Denver	DEN 13:50 → MSP 16:54UA 732	9h 54m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	BDL 16:30 → ATL 19:13DL 2739	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	9h 09m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	BDL 12:24 → ATL 14:53DL 2951	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 51m	99%	83%
United Details →	BDL 15:30 → DEN 17:58UA 2239	2h 56m Denver	DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667	9h 29m	97%	82%
American Details →	BDL 07:16 → CLT 09:24AA 3182	3h 13m Charlotte	CLT 12:37 → MSP 14:23AA 1671	8h 07m	97%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON