Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2350 at 15:01, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2350 Delta Flight history →	BGR 15:01	ATL 18:00	17%	7%	1.7%	93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BGR 05:59 → LGA 07:35DL 5137 · flown by Endeavor	1h 25m New York	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	5h 33m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	BGR 13:52 → LGA 15:31DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor	2h 29m New York	LGA 18:00 → ATL 21:20DL 964	7h 28m	96%	77%
American Details →	BGR 11:49 → PHL 13:46AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont	1h 42m Philadelphia	PHL 15:28 → ATL 17:48AA 5250 · flown by PSA	5h 59m	89%	72%
American Details →	BGR 06:35 → ORD 08:34AA 3683 · flown by Envoy	1h 38m Chicago	ORD 10:12 → ATL 13:16AA 2910	6h 41m	95%	67%
United Details →	BGR 12:11 → EWR 14:05UA 4166 · flown by GoJet	1h 39m Newark	EWR 15:44 → ATL 18:08UA 1848	5h 57m	93%	61%
Delta Details →	BGR 16:14 → JFK 18:03DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	57m New York	JFK 19:00 → ATL 22:11DL 962	5h 57m	82%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON