tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4822 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record BHM 11:20 IAH 13:26 10% 5% 0.4% 90%
UA 4008 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record BHM 06:30 IAH 08:30 15% 6% 1.2% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BHM 06:25 → DTW 09:27DL 3006 3h 02m Detroit DTW 12:29 → IAH 14:30DL 1307 8h 05m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → BHM 05:18 → ATL 07:30DL 2162 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 10:02 → IAH 11:11DL 1682 5h 53m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BHM 07:35 → ATL 09:40DL 1369 2h 47m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 5h 58m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → BHM 05:27 → DFW 07:17AA 4186 · flown by Envoy 3h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:22 → IAH 11:39AA 3829 · flown by Envoy 6h 12m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → BHM 14:10 → ATL 16:17DL 3012 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 18:53 → IAH 20:04DL 2327 5h 54m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → BHM 17:00 → ATL 19:07DL 2484 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 6h 57m 98% 75%
UnitedDetails → BHM 08:10 → DEN 10:35UA 5295 · flown by SkyWest 59m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 6h 59m 89% 74%
DeltaDetails → BHM 12:03 → ATL 14:08DL 1017 1h 18m Atlanta ATL 15:26 → IAH 16:39DL 1223 4h 36m 91% 71%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON