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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, WN 1452 at 13:45, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1452 Southwest BNA 13:45 ALB 17:06 15% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439 1h 19m Detroit DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor 4h 41m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → ALB 13:28DL 1137 7h 18m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:28 → PHL 09:39AA 2809 3h 26m Philadelphia PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 7h 03m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:27 → IAD 11:24UA 1709 1h 16m Dulles IAD 12:40 → ALB 14:13UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 46m 97% 77%
AmericanDetails → BNA 10:41 → ORD 12:30AA 6273 · flown by SkyWest 2h 34m Chicago ORD 15:04 → ALB 18:16AA 4240 · flown by Envoy 6h 35m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → BNA 08:30 → CLT 10:58AA 966 3h 23m Charlotte CLT 14:21 → ALB 16:29AA 1075 6h 59m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465 2h 21m Chicago ORD 12:02 → ALB 14:59UA 2792 6h 19m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → BNA 17:40 → DTW 20:24DL 2316 1h 21m Detroit DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660 4h 41m 91% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON