tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1532 Southwest BNA 01:09 OKC 03:15 4% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 667 Southwest BNA 07:50 OKC 09:56 5% 1% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 09:53 → OKC 11:08DL 2490 5h 58m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:12 → DEN 10:17UA 1716 3h 08m Denver DEN 13:25 → OKC 16:10UA 1656 7h 58m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:50 → OKC 14:56DL 2862 5h 08m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → BNA 11:21 → IAH 13:44UA 241 2h 54m Houston IAH 16:38 → OKC 18:20UA 6334 · flown by Mesa 6h 59m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 18:05 → OKC 19:16DL 2784 6h 38m 98% 72%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:01 → DFW 08:20AA 2787 2h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:40 → OKC 11:53AA 3099 5h 52m 97% 70%
UnitedDetails → BNA 15:05 → IAH 17:28UA 2339 2h 38m Houston IAH 20:06 → OKC 21:35UA 1084 6h 30m 95% 67%
AmericanDetails → BNA 09:09 → ORD 10:56AA 2500 1h 15m Chicago ORD 12:11 → OKC 14:27AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest 5h 18m 92% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON