tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: AA 1107 at 06:21 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 33%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1107 American Flight history → BOI 06:21 DFW 10:34 9% 3% 1.0% 88%
AA 2019 American BOI 13:49 DFW 18:05 33% 10% 1.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOI 05:30 → MSP 09:11DL 2808 1h 49m Minneapolis MSP 11:00 → DFW 13:31DL 2970 7h 01m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → BOI 05:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5924 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m Denver DEN 09:37 → DFW 12:40UA 1350 6h 40m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173 2h 39m Salt Lake City SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800 6h 30m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BOI 07:05 → LAX 08:27DL 3725 · flown by SkyWest 1h 13m Los Angeles LAX 09:40 → DFW 14:53DL 521 6h 48m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → BOI 08:25 → SLC 09:44DL 3607 · flown by SkyWest 3h 56m Salt Lake City SLC 13:40 → DFW 17:23DL 2811 7h 58m 100% 76%
AmericanDetails → BOI 08:11 → PHX 09:46AA 6439 · flown by SkyWest 2h 27m Phoenix PHX 12:13 → DFW 16:48AA 1354 7h 37m 100% 73%
UnitedDetails → BOI 08:25 → ORD 13:10UA 5386 · flown by SkyWest 2h 30m Chicago ORD 15:40 → DFW 18:22UA 793 8h 57m 97% 70%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 08:15 → SEA 08:50AS 2070 · flown by Horizon 3h 23m Seattle SEA 12:13 → DFW 18:21AS 549 9h 06m 100% 69%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON