Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2808 Delta Flight history →	BOI 05:30	MSP 09:11	5%	2%	0.5%	91%
DL 2982 Delta Flight history →	BOI 14:50	MSP 18:37	13%	5%	0.5%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173	1h 19m Salt Lake City	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	4h 58m	98%	91%
United Details →	BOI 05:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5924 · flown by SkyWest	2h 35m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	6h 40m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BOI 08:25 → SLC 09:44DL 3607 · flown by SkyWest	1h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	5h 15m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	BOI 10:02 → SEA 10:50DL 3740 · flown by SkyWest	3h 40m Seattle	SEA 14:30 → MSP 19:54DL 942	8h 52m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	BOI 11:02 → SLC 12:23DL 1744	1h 37m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	5h 30m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	BOI 07:05 → LAX 08:27DL 3725 · flown by SkyWest	2h 48m Los Angeles	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	8h 45m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	BOI 14:04 → ATL 20:21DL 874	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	9h 35m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	BOI 13:05 → SLC 14:24DL 2095	3h 01m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → MSP 20:58DL 2935	6h 53m	98%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON