Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Kansas City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 675 Delta Flight history →	BOS 09:15	MCI 11:45	13%	3%	0.6%	88%
WN 2123 Southwest	BOS 14:32	MCI 17:10	22%	5%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	1h 02m Detroit	DTW 08:40 → MCI 09:44DL 2826	5h 14m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:16 → MSP 10:25DL 1308	3h 20m Minneapolis	MSP 13:45 → MCI 15:14DL 1613	7h 58m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:05 → SLC 09:17DL 859	1h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:34 → MCI 13:57DL 2882	8h 52m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	2h 44m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:12DL 2747	7h 42m	100%	85%
United Details →	BOS 07:25 → IAH 10:35UA 226	1h 30m Houston	IAH 12:05 → MCI 14:15UA 6152 · flown by Mesa	7h 50m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	BOS 11:52 → MSP 14:04DL 1103	1h 15m Minneapolis	MSP 15:19 → MCI 16:55DL 1774	6h 03m	95%	84%
American Details →	BOS 06:03 → PHL 07:45AA 1540	2h 26m Philadelphia	PHL 10:11 → MCI 12:17AA 1480	7h 14m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	BOS 14:52 → MSP 17:05DL 1127	3h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 20:30 → MCI 21:59DL 1657	8h 07m	99%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	BOS 18:02 → CLT 20:22AA 922	1h 18m Charlotte	CLT 21:40 → MCI 23:04AA 1732	6h 02m	72%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON