Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 5614 Delta flown by Republic Flight history →	BOS 12:14	MKE 14:04	9%	3%	0.9%	89%
B6 2229 JetBlue Flight history →	BOS 07:10	MKE 08:45	12%	3%	0.6%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 10:49 → MKE 11:51DL 1151	7h 21m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:16 → MSP 10:25DL 1308	3h 18m Minneapolis	MSP 13:43 → MKE 15:02DL 2006	7h 46m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	8h 05m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	1h 01m Detroit	DTW 08:39 → MKE 08:56DL 3102	4h 26m	96%	87%
American Details →	BOS 11:13 → PHL 12:39AA 4643 · flown by Republic	3h 32m Philadelphia	PHL 16:11 → MKE 17:37AA 5439 · flown by PSA	7h 24m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303	48m Minneapolis	MSP 08:52 → MKE 10:11DL 1781	5h 16m	91%	85%
United Details →	BOS 06:05 → EWR 07:29UA 1833	1h 18m Newark	EWR 08:47 → MKE 10:11UA 3697 · flown by Republic	5h 06m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	BOS 10:15 → ATL 13:04DL 385	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 15:55 → MKE 16:59DL 1206	7h 44m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON