Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 3087 at 11:35, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 3087 Delta Flight history →	BOS 11:35	MYR 13:53	18%	5%	1.0%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	1h 07m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145	5h 09m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 13:54 → MYR 15:14DL 3182	7h 14m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 09:32 → MYR 10:49DL 3047	5h 19m	99%	80%
American Details →	BOS 06:05 → CLT 08:30AA 418	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 10:23 → MYR 11:31AA 2431	5h 26m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	BOS 13:55 → ATL 16:49DL 322	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → MYR 21:49DL 3074	7h 54m	99%	74%
American Details →	BOS 11:40 → CLT 13:53AA 1557	2h 05m Charlotte	CLT 15:58 → MYR 17:06AA 2943	5h 26m	100%	73%
American Details →	BOS 15:43 → CLT 18:01AA 885	2h 07m Charlotte	CLT 20:08 → MYR 21:19AA 1085	5h 36m	95%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON