Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 2072 at 16:22, with a 37% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2072 JetBlue Flight history → BQN 16:22 FLL 19:15 37% 14% 3.6% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → BQN 00:15 → EWR 04:12UA 1162 2h 33m Newark EWR 06:45 → FLL 09:50UA 1364 9h 35m 98% 79%
JetBlueDetails → BQN 05:59 → JFK 10:13B6 538 2h 17m New York JFK 12:30 → FLL 15:40B6 2201 9h 41m 96% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON