tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:35, is the safest bet: 75% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → MCO 23:55DL 2056 8h 20m 97% 75%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 1h 36m Denver DEN 17:52 → MCO 23:41UA 259 7h 53m 93% 74%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 1h 13m Salt Lake City SLC 11:14 → MCO 17:38DL 1691 7h 38m 96% 72%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 10:51 → SEA 13:23AS 1388 2h 20m Seattle SEA 15:43 → MCO 23:59AS 420 10h 08m 94% 69%
DeltaDetails → BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483 58m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MCO 00:15 +1DL 1162 7h 20m 75% 53%
AmericanDetails → BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599 1h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:37 → MCO 17:25AA 1692 7h 24m 93% 53%
AmericanDetails → BUR 12:31 → DFW 17:50AA 1208 3h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:58 → MCO 00:44 +1AA 1336 9h 13m 97% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON