tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: WN 755 at 10:40 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 18%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 755 Southwest BWI 10:40 CMH 12:10 6% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 982 Southwest BWI 20:25 CMH 21:55 18% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:21 → BOS 08:00DL 5813 · flown by Republic 1h 11m Boston BOS 09:11 → CMH 11:27DL 5654 · flown by Republic 5h 06m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601 2h 31m Detroit DTW 10:10 → CMH 11:21DL 5810 · flown by Republic 5h 13m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 12:33 → DTW 14:07DL 1546 3h 48m Detroit DTW 17:55 → CMH 19:05DL 5762 · flown by Republic 6h 32m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 15:04 → MSP 16:50DL 2357 3h 25m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → CMH 23:07DL 1356 8h 03m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → BWI 07:28 → ATL 09:20DL 2579 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 6h 10m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 14:16 → ATL 16:14DL 2711 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → CMH 19:27DL 2786 5h 11m 94% 79%
AmericanDetails → BWI 07:37 → CLT 09:08AA 2670 3h 29m Charlotte CLT 12:37 → CMH 14:02AA 2236 6h 25m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → BWI 16:54 → ATL 19:00DL 2799 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 21:55 → CMH 23:33DL 1459 6h 39m 97% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 50m Chicago ORD 19:45 → CMH 22:24UA 3614 · flown by Republic 4h 52m 57% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON