tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1039 Southwest BWI 10:35 CVG 12:20 7% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 4549 Southwest BWI 20:35 CVG 22:20 15% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:16 → ATL 10:13DL 2562 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 13:49 → CVG 15:12DL 3169 6h 56m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:00 → ATL 07:50DL 2950 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:15 → CVG 12:38DL 3149 6h 38m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:44 → ATL 13:37DL 1592 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 17:34 → CVG 19:03DL 1858 7h 19m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BWI 05:01 → CLT 06:25AA 1708 2h 46m Charlotte CLT 09:11 → CVG 10:42AA 430 5h 41m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:16 → ORD 09:30UA 2749 3h 29m Chicago ORD 12:59 → CVG 15:30UA 4388 · flown by GoJet 7h 14m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → BWI 13:50 → BOS 15:48DL 5668 · flown by Republic 1h 12m Boston BOS 17:00 → CVG 19:40DL 5620 · flown by Republic 5h 50m 93% 80%
AmericanDetails → BWI 07:37 → CLT 09:08AA 2670 2h 00m Charlotte CLT 11:08 → CVG 12:39AA 1533 5h 02m 90% 77%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601 56m Detroit DTW 08:35 → CVG 09:54DL 5259 · flown by Endeavor 3h 46m 93% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON