tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 543 Southwest BWI 09:15 GSP 10:56 5% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 3645 Southwest BWI 18:00 GSP 19:41 12% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:00 → ATL 07:50DL 2950 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 11:20 → GSP 12:18DL 1725 6h 18m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:16 → ATL 10:13DL 2562 3h 46m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → GSP 15:01DL 3010 6h 45m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → BWI 05:01 → CLT 06:25AA 1708 2h 40m Charlotte CLT 09:05 → GSP 10:12AA 5799 · flown by Piedmont 5h 11m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:44 → ATL 13:37DL 1592 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 16:52 → GSP 17:53DL 3095 6h 09m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BWI 07:37 → CLT 09:08AA 2670 3h 57m Charlotte CLT 13:05 → GSP 14:07AA 5805 · flown by Piedmont 6h 30m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → BWI 11:27 → ORD 12:36AA 3762 · flown by Envoy 2h 34m Chicago ORD 15:10 → GSP 18:02AA 4145 · flown by Envoy 6h 35m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → BWI 16:54 → ATL 19:00DL 2799 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → GSP 23:54DL 2281 7h 00m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → BWI 14:16 → ATL 16:14DL 2711 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 19:42 → GSP 20:43DL 3136 6h 27m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON