Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 642 Southwest	BWI 08:50	SAV 10:39	9%	1%	0.7%	no record
WN 423 Southwest	BWI 18:00	SAV 19:59	11%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119	4h 44m	95%	87%
Delta Details →	BWI 08:16 → ATL 10:13DL 2562	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → SAV 14:50DL 1067	6h 34m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	BWI 06:00 → ATL 07:50DL 2950	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 09:47 → SAV 10:54DL 3054	4h 54m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	BWI 11:44 → ATL 13:37DL 1592	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014	4h 42m	97%	83%
American Details →	BWI 05:01 → CLT 06:25AA 1708	2h 45m Charlotte	CLT 09:10 → SAV 10:31AA 5910 · flown by Piedmont	5h 34m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	BWI 14:16 → ATL 16:14DL 2711	3h 52m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	7h 01m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	BWI 16:54 → ATL 19:00DL 2799	3h 46m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	6h 59m	99%	80%
United Details →	BWI 08:16 → ORD 09:30UA 2749	1h 40m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → SAV 14:21UA 1612	6h 05m	93%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON